Saturday, November 23, 2013

Hobbitcore's College Football Corner (Week 13)

Another week, another upset or two I wish I had pulled the trigger on. And another embarrassing Canes loss. This has been a bit of a rough week for me and I've been pretty busy so I'm sure glad it's Saturday and I know I can't let my four or five adoring fans down!

Last Week
Overall: 2-2
Upsets: 1-1

Season
Overall: 49-16
Upsets: 10-7



3:30pm -- #12 Texas A&M @ #22 LSU -- CBS (UPSET ALERT)

This is a really tough pick. Two high powered offenses facing inconsistent defenses. LSU is 31-2 at home in the last five years (and favored by 5, surprisingly) but Johnny Manziel is undefeated on the road in his career. It's heart v. head again--Upset Hobbit's heart is telling him Johnny Football will go out with something to prove in the Heisman race and break out to lead his team to victory but his head is saying that LSU is just too tough at home and too balanced on offense for A&M's defense. We've been going head way too often. This week, we're going heart.

The Upset Hobbit sez: Texas A&M

3:30 -- #19 Wisconsin @ #25 Minnesota -- ESPN (UPSET ALERT)

It blows my mind that the Gophers are a 16.5 point home underdog, especially the way they've been playing over their last four games, since losing head coach Jerry Kill who is nursing his epilepsy after a seizure the morning of the Michigan game five weeks ago (a game Minnesota lost 42-13). As good as Wisconsin has looked this year, U.H. and I agree, you have to go with the inspired team with momentum on their side at home in a big rivalry game.

The Upset Hobbit sez: Minnesota


7:00pm -- #17 Arizona State @ #14 UCLA -- FOX (UPSET ALERT)

Another surprising home underdog. These are two very similar teams but man it's really hard to go against quite possibly the most underrated player in the country (though that's quickly changing): Myles Jack. His power and explosiveness will be the difference against a Sun Devil defense that doesn't do so hot against the run. The Upset Hobbit is dancing his hairy little feet off.

The Upset Hobbit sez: UCLA



7:45pm -- #8 Missouri @ #24 Ole Miss -- ESPN

These two teams may be a little closer than it seems. I'm interested to see how Mizzou does defending the running game of Ole Miss. Still, I don't think the Rebels can handle the Tiger passing game. I think Mizzou wins a shootout.

Hobbitcore sez: Missouri

GAME OF THE WEEK
8:00 -- #4 Baylor @ #10 Oklahoma State -- ABC (UPSET ALERT)

This is going to be a barnburner. Two potent, balanced offenses will put up lots of points. I think Baylor's defense will make just enough plays to keep them in a tough road test but I just think that this is too much pressure for a team that has never had to deal with this kind of pressure on the road in primetime. I like Oklahoma State to pull off the upset, even though U.H. is giving me shit for picking against the Cinderella story of this college football season.

The Upset Hobbit (begrudgingly) sez: Oklahoma State